Wednesday, 5 February 2025
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    Policy Issues

    To Deter

    There has been some interesting talk in the past week about deterrence and escalation and proportionality and I’m beginning to wonder if those words still mean what I thought they mean, like the word “secret” on the front page of a newspaper. But it’s important to review what they really mean because getting this wrong can have significant consequences.

    Putin, Xi, and the Pirate King

    In the news this week, Alexei Navalny, the dissident Russian politician who was serving 30 years in an Arctic Gulag, died. Navalny was a longtime rival of Tsar Vlad, had campaigned against corruption - Putin’s corruption - and after returning to Russia in 2021, had been found guilty of “extremism” and “fraud” - what were clearly nonsense charges, and sentenced to 30 years in prison. 

    Strategic Bombing and Gentle War

    Much of the modern way of war springs from the writings of 4 men from the 1920s: Gen. Giulio Douhet, LtGen. Walther Wever, Marshal Hugh Montague “Boom” Trenchard, and of course, Col. Billy Mitchell.All were believers in “strategic bombing,” the idea that bombing the right targets would destroy morale while also destroying industrial capacity and disabling lines of communication, and drive any nation to surrender.Over the years the theory, particularly in the west, has undergone some modifications

    Place Your Bets

    The attempted assassination of former President Trump has now had a chance to settle in just a bit, and in capitals around the world I would suspect that there are senior planning teams taking out their portfolios and looking at their assumptions.

    To Pete Hegseth: It’s Worse Than You Think

    by Navy Capt. (Ret.) Pete O'Brien, Distinguished Fellow and Chairman, Project Sentinel Pete Hegseth, soon to be the Secretary of Defense (one hopes), believes the...

    Amateurs or Professionals

    by Navy Capt. (Ret.) Peter O'Brien There is an old adage that “Amateurs talk tactics, professionals talk logistics.” And with that, a tip of the...